‘The Situation is Dire’: War on Iran Squeezes India's Cooking-Gas Supplies.
The repercussions of a conflict being fought nearly a significant distance away are now being felt in India's kitchens.
As military actions on Iran hinder energy deliveries through the vital shipping lane, availability of kitchen fuel are tightening across India, forcing restaurants to reduce offerings, shorten hours and in some cases shut down altogether.
Social media is flooded by video clips showing crowds outside cooking-gas dealers across Indian urban and rural areas as concerns over fuel supplies grow. Commercial LPG users appear the worst hit: the biggest crunch is in commercial eateries.
"The situation is dire. LPG simply isn't available," says a spokesperson of the a major restaurant body.
Most eateries run either on business-grade gas tanks or pipeline-supplied fuel, and the lack of supply are now being noticed across the country. "Many restaurants have closed - some in the capital, many in the southern region. People are turning to coal and wood and induction stoves to keep kitchens going."
Localized Effects
In a western metro, media reports say up to a fifth of hospitality businesses are already completely or partially closed as cylinder availability dry up. In the southern cities of tech and coastal hubs, some restaurants say their cylinder inventory have depleted with minimal reserves. "We can only make coffee and nothing else - it is nothing less than pathetic. Commerce will take a hit," says a chain proprietor in Bengaluru.
Restaurant operators are rushing to adjust. "Menus are being curtailed, some are cutting lunch service and operating solely in the evening," an industry representative says, adding that stoppages are changing as supplies ebb and flow. "A number of eateries in Delhi were shut yesterday - two have already reopened. It's a dynamic scenario."
Retailers note a surge in sales of electric cookers, with some saying they are facing stockouts.
Authority's View
Yet, the officials maintains there is adequate supply.
India has more than a vast number of home fuel subscribers and spokespersons say cylinders are being prioritized to households as geopolitical strain from the war in the Gulf impact energy markets.
Roughly 60% of India's LPG is brought in from overseas, and about the vast majority of those imports pass through the critical waterway, the narrow Gulf chokepoint now significantly disrupted by the hostilities.
The petroleum ministry says that it instructed refineries to increase LPG output for home needs, raising domestic production by about a significant margin. Commercial stock is being allocated for critical services such as hospitals and educational institutions, while distribution will be "just and open".
"A degree of anxious stocking and hoarding has been caused by misinformation. The regular refill period for home fuel remains about under three days," says a government spokesperson.
Widening Concern
Now the worry is moving beyond kitchens. On online networks, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a extended procession of motorbikes outside a petrol pump. "The panic is real," the caption reads.
According to analysis from market experts, concerns about India's broader petroleum stocks may be premature.
India imports 90% of its oil. Around 50% of its petroleum shipments - about millions of barrels a day - travel through the passage, largely from Gulf countries.
Even if oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted, the gap could be partly offset by higher imports of discounted Russian crude, according to a industry commentator.
Based on vessel tracking and credible market sources, additional Russian crude imports could reach around a significant volume of barrels a day, reducing India's effective deficit from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about 1.6 million barrels a day.
"Around 25-30 million Russian oil barrels are currently floating on ships in the Indian Ocean and, with only two major Asian economies as major buyers, those barrels remain a available backup," an analyst noted.
Kitchen Fuel: The Primary Concern
The key weakness is cooking gas, analysts say.
India consumes roughly 1 million barrels a day, but produces only a minority share domestically, importing the rest - 80–90% through the Strait.
Refineries can adjust processes to squeeze out a bit more LPG, but even a 10-20% boost would only increase domestic supply to about 47-50% of demand, leaving the country largely dependent on imports.
In short: "Crude supply risk can be somewhat alleviated through alternative sourcing. Processed petroleum stocks remains fairly adequate. Cooking gas supply is the real variable to watch in the coming weeks."
What may be worsening the concern on the ground is not just limited availability but patchy deliveries - and the usual problem of hoarding.
An industry representative states price gouging.
"Retailers are exploiting the situation - selling fuel on the black market and selling them at a inflated price. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being accumulated and sold to the highest bidder."
For now, India's oil supplies may be cushioned by global trade flows. But in kitchens across the country, the more pressing concern is simple: how to get the next gas canister.